Changes in Average Loan-to-Value Ratio and Percentage of Mortgage Loans Used for Owner-occupied versus Investment Properties since 2008
Prime Minister's OfficeSpeakers
Summary
This question concerns the changes in the average Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratio and the proportion of owner-occupied versus investment property mortgage loans since 2008, as raised by Mr Chua Kheng Wee Louis. Senior Minister Tharman Shanmugaratnam responded that the average LTV ratio peaked at 54% in 2017 before returning to 44% by mid-2022. He highlighted that owner-occupied property loans rose to 79% in 2022, while investment property loans fell to 21% over the same period. The Senior Minister noted that low LTV ratios offer a buffer against declining property values, though he urged prudence due to rising interest rates and global uncertainty. Finally, he explained that the Monetary Authority of Singapore has tightened credit rules, including lowering the Total Debt Servicing Ratio threshold, to curtail borrowing risks.
Transcript
56 Mr Chua Kheng Wee Louis asked the Prime Minister (a) since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, what have been the changes in the (i) average Loan-To-Value (LTV) ratio and (ii) percentage of mortgage loans being used to finance owner-occupied properties as against investment properties; and (b) in comparison to these changes, what is the Government's current assessment of the risk to a higher LTV ratio through the downside to residential property valuations.
Mr Tharman Shanmugaratnam (for the Prime Minister): The average Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratio1 has moderated in recent years, with property values significantly exceeding their loan values. The available data shows that the average LTV ratio increased from 44% to a peak of 54% between 2011 and 2017, before steadily declining to 44% again as of Q2 2022.
The share of mortgage loans for financing owner-occupied properties increased from 74% in 2008 to 79% in 2022. Correspondingly, the share of mortgages for financing investment properties fell from 26% to 21% over the same period.
The low LTV ratio provides financial institutions (FIs) and existing borrowers with a good buffer against falling property valuations. However, with interest rates rising and increased uncertainty on global growth prospects, I urge households to exercise prudence and ensure that they are able to service their debts when taking on long-term financial commitments, including property purchases. To mitigate such risks, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has tightened credit rules over the past year to curtail the loan amount that new borrowers can take out, including a lower Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR) threshold.